Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.116998 1.341422 1.578669 1.846321 2.138128 2.445027 2.790635
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.808701 1.114960 1.461998 1.876494 2.350933 2.870743 3.477322
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.634803 0.975176 1.381350 1.885857 2.481669 3.150908 3.948177
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.470295 0.818401 1.258126 1.826690 2.518883 3.314641 4.280501
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.348397 0.692326 1.152504 1.770427 2.543448 3.450069 4.567809
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.262629 0.599484 1.076596 1.739995 2.590030 3.604104 4.870661
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.213015 0.550621 1.052552 1.770210 2.706871 3.838633 5.265720
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.167110 0.498006 1.016543 1.779436 2.793449 4.033871 5.612214
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.121251 0.433978 0.956201 1.749763 2.825712 4.159287 5.872348
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.110866 0.435355 0.993982 1.855448 3.033782 4.502613 6.397128
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.101315 0.436277 1.030030 1.958264 3.238160 4.841841 6.917868
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.096102 0.445480 1.078943 2.079496 3.467355 5.212921 7.478680
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.086436 0.445354 1.116809 2.192158 3.695609 5.596026 8.071441
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.067607 0.417900 1.107462 2.235918 3.832799 5.866584 8.529654
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.048099 0.379827 1.075289 2.242455 3.916949 6.067638 8.900193
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026734 0.321103 0.999439 2.178457 3.901440 6.139126 9.108630
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012490 0.269203 0.928108 2.115726 3.883467 6.204274 9.306556
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.005066 0.231733 0.878357 2.082200 3.902572 6.314342 9.557745
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002363 0.216016 0.870993 2.115598 4.015924 6.547534 9.964453
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000561 0.195544 0.850505 2.125833 4.095145 6.735339 10.313576
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.166504 0.805903 2.092972 4.110207 6.837020 10.552389
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.174292 0.849029 2.209881 4.344586 7.231548 11.166314
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.181128 0.889972 2.323349 4.574397 7.620612 11.774106